South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37dd0893f55886600c1106db6f5d1d1fcda2777abc627a024e3823cd99e3aff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 9c | 444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 430.57$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 10c | 223.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 155.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…f29cbacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 27c | 60.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 51c | 59.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 73c | 52.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Yes | 52c | 41.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 53c | 36.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 38c | 30.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 19.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.