Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3bd8329bb8fef02b4d680832cf25b85114a72dfb895308d31208a943ddee6ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Nepal, United Arab Emirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Nepal | 53c | 4,962$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.45 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked United Arab Emirates | 65c | 3,205$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.34 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Nepal | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.36 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed United Arab Emirates | 64c | 1,217$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed United Arab Emirates | 18c | 1,072$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Nepal | 49c | 985$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed United Arab Emirates | 4c | 819.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed United Arab Emirates | 22c | 771.13$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked United Arab Emirates | 50c | 651.64$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Nepal | 27c | 584.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.69 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked United Arab Emirates | 34c | 571.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked United Arab Emirates | 58c | 504.75$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nepal | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed United Arab Emirates | 50c | 429.47$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Nepal | 40c | 274.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nepal | 25c | 253.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed United Arab Emirates | 62c | 234.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Nepal | 43c | 196.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked United Arab Emirates | 40c | 190.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…fc56backed Nepal | 51c | 161.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…6984backed Nepal | 69c | 150.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed United Arab Emirates | 46c | 148.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nepal | 62c | 140.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked United Arab Emirates | 58c | 105.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed United Arab Emirates | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed United Arab Emirates | 34c | 98.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed United Arab Emirates | 57c | 97.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked United Arab Emirates | 46c | 96.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Nepal | 51c | 94.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…e387backed United Arab Emirates | 48c | 86.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nepal | 49c | 84.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked United Arab Emirates | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Nepal | 38c | 79.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed United Arab Emirates | 49c | 79.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…69d0backed United Arab Emirates | 58c | 71.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed United Arab Emirates | 46c | 67.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed United Arab Emirates | 63c | 61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nepal | 51c | 59.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked United Arab Emirates | 46c | 53.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Nepal | 40c | 50.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed United Arab Emirates | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed United Arab Emirates | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Nepal | 66c | 46.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…5838backed Nepal | 68c | 46.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed United Arab Emirates | 65c | 45.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed United Arab Emirates | 34c | 43.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked United Arab Emirates | 66c | 36.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed United Arab Emirates | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed United Arab Emirates | 67c | 31.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Nepal | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed United Arab Emirates | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed United Arab Emirates | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed United Arab Emirates | 59c | 26.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…89a3backed Nepal | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…592ebacked United Arab Emirates | 50c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nepal | 48c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Nepal | 60c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked United Arab Emirates | 68c | 23.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed United Arab Emirates | 59c | 23.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…e010backed Nepal | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked United Arab Emirates | 67c | 21.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…83c7backed Nepal | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…5a73backed United Arab Emirates | 51c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.