CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c4bbedfd626ab7c398d2ed251bd2e4485c9a2d0ac622d2d0c369f3fcb93c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tricked | 54c | 4,837$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.26 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 48c | 4,363$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.57 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 31c | 1,164$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Tricked | 17c | 1,124$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed magic | 65c | 965.08$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.48 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 55c | 880.39$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 51c | 835.54$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 65c | 770.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed magic | 75c | 745.06$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 45c | 690.47$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.95 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tricked | 50c | 637.53$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.39 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Tricked | 56c | 589.45$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Tricked | 53c | 550$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tricked | 35c | 542.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Tricked | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed magic | 65c | 450.08$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked magic | 63c | 356.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Tricked | 73c | 244.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 361 | 46.8%169 W · 192 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tricked | 20c | 217.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed magic | 47c | 211.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 58c | 189.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Tricked | 45c | 178.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 49c | 173.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Tricked | 56c | 164.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricked | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tricked | 46c | 149.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed magic | 74c | 147.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tricked | 44c | 139.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed magic | 51c | 123.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed magic | 44c | 120.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Tricked | 35c | 118.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed magic | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed magic | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 301 | 54.2%163 W · 138 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Tricked | 53c | 89.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed magic | 51c | 74.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tricked | 51c | 73.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Tricked | 71c | 70.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Tricked | 47c | 69.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Tricked | 34c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Tricked | 53c | 52.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…b2e6backed Tricked | 54c | 52.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked magic | 64c | 51.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Tricked | 51c | 50.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tricked | 44c | 42.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked magic | 50c | 38.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 53c | 33.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Tricked | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed Tricked | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked magic | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…aa47backed magic | 80c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.