TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, Tricked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic65c9,204$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.885,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic63c4,070$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.8884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Tricked33c3,167$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.833627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…4ce8backed magic73c2,738$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tricked37c1,866$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3756732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Tricked35c1,604$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.44740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4926…a3bfbacked Tricked37c1,581$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Tricked37c1,297$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tricked25c1,188$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.993,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Tricked22c1,003$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.94,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Tricked36c926.03$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.379739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Tricked22c750$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.253,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Tricked35c624$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.432544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…20c1backed Tricked37c594.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed magic63c578.83$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1735153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8c…c7cebacked Tricked37c540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Tricked37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Tricked33c444.19$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5831642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Tricked30c424.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3517644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Tricked40c375.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1348240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tricked16c371.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.572,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked19c340.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.676,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Tricked36c317.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.091,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Tricked34c294.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1515747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed magic75c285$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked Tricked15c283.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.259240.2%37 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Tricked38c279.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9618850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Tricked27c273.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3222534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Tricked37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked magic77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.746965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Tricked32c253.47$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1116152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Tricked37c233$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2163541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Tricked15c218.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Tricked28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Tricked31c195$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2511341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed magic61c194.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6560838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Tricked19c176.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.487247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Tricked37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricked26c158$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.083,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed magic64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2548562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tricked28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked magic63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Tricked37c150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda7…8136backed magic74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tricked27c130.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4626037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed magic70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3910554.3%57 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x578a…eaa8backed Tricked40c123.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Tricked23c120.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0448635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked28c109$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.527,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa382…d301backed Tricked37c105.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Tricked39c105.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9927549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Tricked39c105$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9534943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked Tricked35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tricked26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Tricked36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3565546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Tricked27c96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9231440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed magic64c95.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3130951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Tricked21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Tricked37c90$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed magic71c89.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.752,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9cd…17acbacked Tricked19c85.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Tricked37c83.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Tricked36c83.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2420646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tricked25c77.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.572,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed magic59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked magic77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2578963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1b…3d70backed Tricked20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed magic71c72.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.381,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Tricked27c72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4445238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked magic70c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.322,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Tricked27c70.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Tricked36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Tricked23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.833,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Tricked32c62.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf349…3398backed Tricked37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa66b…cca4backed magic78c53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+91.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tricked28c52.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked magic73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Tricked38c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.882,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Tricked28c43.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1127015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked magic73c41.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.329970.7%70 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed magic77c40.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.328365.1%54 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed magic62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.237841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72af…c833backed Tricked37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked magic69c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.091,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Tricked34c38.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0552750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Tricked30c34.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4740635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed magic79c27.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8544654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked magic63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2520544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tricked43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.742,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic64c21.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.792,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e2…3c85backed magic80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd015…ec20backed magic69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.28354.2%45 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe345…e5c8backed magic63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed magic67c16.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5311952.9%63 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic79c16.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.555,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d70…96e6backed magic64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d47…f577backed magic71c15.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…e3ddbacked magic80c13.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.796100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.