TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nemigaof BIG, Nemiga
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Nemiga41c36,893$15,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,657.442440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BIG59c9,610$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,669.622,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nemiga40c9,148$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,488.5375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed BIG60c9,040$5,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,424.119443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG59c5,986$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.547,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed BIG58c4,819$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.759254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked BIG43c3,922$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.239232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed BIG58c2,437$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.4612253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG59c1,714$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.435,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f49…5437backed BIG59c1,558$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked BIG57c1,498$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.9424538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BIG58c936.5$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.023,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Nemiga42c816.24$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.4952951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nemiga44c711.49$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.951,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed BIG58c699.91$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9513246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked BIG26c597.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4713242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed BIG59c533.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.051,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed BIG57c524.15$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.257358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed BIG54c515.22$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4429052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed BIG39c457.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0421246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed BIG35c420.86$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6440639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BIG58c395.77$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5578348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG59c393.46$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.141,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed BIG58c384.07$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed BIG58c371.43$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4359343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed BIG61c352.21$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8520349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked BIG53c286.55$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.875044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed BIG29c285.08$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9650846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed BIG7c252.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8927831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed BIG59c249.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.923641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed BIG35c245.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6214545.5%66 W · 79 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed BIG33c219.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.63228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed BIG23c204.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7238456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed BIG58c201.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9815142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked BIG58c195.2$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2131852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc984…4141backed BIG61c187.68$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed BIG58c184.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2315743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked BIG60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10878963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed BIG59c171.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3455738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed BIG59c151.19$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.215157%86 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked BIG58c142.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.910063%63 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BIG16c135.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.862,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed BIG36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0811638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Nemiga41c127.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2310534.3%36 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BIG60c117.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.271,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Nemiga42c109.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4415349.7%76 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671b…f9eebacked BIG52c107.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed BIG57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed BIG41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4132662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked BIG26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6735744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795d…b161backed BIG58c98.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.26650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Nemiga42c98.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.991,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed BIG58c97.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5473658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed BIG58c95.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.561,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked BIG59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7771951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed BIG61c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.832339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Nemiga59c73.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0433057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG58c67.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.991,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed BIG57c65.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0610752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Nemiga78c64.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3872139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked BIG27c63.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2120744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga58c62.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked BIG54c62.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4448052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BIG34c61.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.016,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed BIG29c60.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.538324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b88…8b2dbacked BIG59c60.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.512556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c1…be67backed BIG59c58.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.744654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked BIG58c51.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910247.1%48 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…2c71backed Nemiga58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.185362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nemiga65c49.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.261,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed BIG44c49.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6339258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked BIG45c48.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc170…dfe9backed BIG41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.278030%24 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa564…e6f3backed Nemiga42c45.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.66333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc005…97dbbacked BIG46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c14…6ef9backed BIG45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed BIG42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb14…9235backed BIG59c34.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked BIG59c33.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.514351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed BIG59c25.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb14d…8f95backed BIG58c24.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nemiga59c22.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.044,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed BIG60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.