CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e0ac136441c5db8ff0a36b1313683f358e18bf431e17499feb0f2218c9d602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Yawara Esports, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 3,412$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.93 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 3,148$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.45 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 2,428$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 2,207$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.89 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 1,341$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 1,316$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.13 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yawara Esports | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Yawara Esports | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Yawara Esports | 6c | 655.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 509.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yawara Esports | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yawara Esports | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Yawara Esports | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yawara Esports | 27c | 473.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 15c | 370.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Yawara Esports | 9c | 339$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 284.05$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 278.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 204.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yawara Esports | 21c | 173.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yawara Esports | 24c | 172.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Yawara Esports | 24c | 168.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 162.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 156.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 132.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 124.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yawara Esports | 18c | 101.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 101.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 97.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 94.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Yawara Esports | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 77.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 28.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…059abacked Yawara Esports | 64c | 25.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.