CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa87bd31b530a2ae126aa8dc806dc2a1c1460f52d57361891eb096db00a158c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Yawara Esports, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Yawara Esports | 1c | 13,434$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 2,827$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.35 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 27c | 1,404$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 1,196$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.9 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 1,115$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.13 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yawara Esports | 25c | 1,011$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b75dbacked Yawara Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Yawara Esports | 20c | 863.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 778.31$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 681.25$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 500$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 454.47$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 355.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 343.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Yawara Esports | 13c | 315.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 305.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 287$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Yawara Esports | 9c | 228$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yawara Esports | 19c | 222.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 220.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Yawara Esports | 18c | 163.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 157.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 144.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 134$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yawara Esports | 17c | 126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yawara Esports | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 89.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yawara Esports | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…c9f6backed Yawara Esports | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yawara Esports | 25c | 76.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 71.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 48.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 48.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 36.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…c7f9backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 36.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 35.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…a9eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961e…a703backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 30.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 24.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 22.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…f1aabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.