CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f1f850f193a9d49649c580657ba27699407e75e4d304659d935b534236dd163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hashiras | 24c | 2,158$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.92 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,320$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.46 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 40c | 1,207$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.01 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 1,042$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.61 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hashiras | 31c | 994.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.86 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 494.78$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Hashiras | 27c | 383.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 348.32$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 287.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 267$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 262.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 246.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 229.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…506ebacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 208.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Hashiras | 38c | 185.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hashiras | 50c | 160.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Hashiras | 47c | 157.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 47c | 138.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Hashiras | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 124.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Hashiras | 47c | 104.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Hashiras | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Hashiras | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Hashiras | 46c | 94.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hashiras | 47c | 91.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Hashiras | 54c | 81.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Hashiras | 57c | 77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Hashiras | 29c | 73.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 67.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 60.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 55.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Hashiras | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Hashiras | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Hashiras | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Hashiras | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 49.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hashiras | 25c | 40.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked Hashiras | 43c | 33.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hashiras | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 31.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Hashiras | 57c | 31.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Hashiras | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Hashiras | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…47cbbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…ae12backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…0bf3backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3691…6b2fbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…6162backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.