CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69658162e0d6e75851238795ffbddd611bd282229691754f5bffefae90ec70b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Hashiras | 20c | 3,927$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.31 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Hashiras | 23c | 2,192$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hashiras | 3c | 1,996$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 1,706$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 1,670$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.94 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 780.22$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…3540backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 693.72$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 617.8$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 595.48$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Hashiras | 20c | 574.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Hashiras | 20c | 489.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hashiras | 29c | 425.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Hashiras | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 387.53$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Hashiras | 8c | 354.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 294.01$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Hashiras | 19c | 259.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 237.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hashiras | 7c | 140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 135.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Hashiras | 24c | 129.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 118.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 118.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Hashiras | 26c | 116.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Hashiras | 25c | 114.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hashiras | 15c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Hashiras | 30c | 101.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Hashiras | 21c | 100.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Hashiras | 27c | 94.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hashiras | 22c | 92.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 73.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…0ffdbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 65.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Hashiras | 29c | 59.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Hashiras | 21c | 55.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 31.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 27.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 23.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 20.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 13.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.