CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629838676be91da6a64990bc92fc6f5931f8345a113e15ce4a8e41577d012e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 2,383$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Hashiras | 18c | 1,983$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.09 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 1,253$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.82 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Hashiras | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 482.2$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 464.87$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Hashiras | 32c | 462.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 19c | 410.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Hashiras | 24c | 353.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hashiras | 37c | 339.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Hashiras | 14c | 322.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 25c | 171.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Hashiras | 17c | 114.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Hashiras | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 93.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hashiras | 34c | 79.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 30c | 72.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Hashiras | 37c | 69.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Hashiras | 22c | 62.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Hashiras | 21c | 57.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 47.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 15.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.