CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec13894b53312306837c59cb4ba7288925dfe015cfb15efe9aefdf691d04b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof against All authority, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Phantom | 74c | 3,853$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.09 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 68c | 3,573$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed against All authority | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked against All authority | 46c | 1,830$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.2 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed against All authority | 18c | 1,306$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.43 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed against All authority | 1c | 1,298$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed against All authority | 44c | 1,084$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.77 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed against All authority | 22c | 1,081$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Phantom | 65c | 844.75$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.46 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 56c | 630.78$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed against All authority | 17c | 628.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 66c | 573.19$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked against All authority | 13c | 519.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked against All authority | 34c | 487$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 69c | 470.23$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed against All authority | 52c | 470$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed against All authority | 33c | 385.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked against All authority | 25c | 369.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed against All authority | 23c | 329.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Phantom | 77c | 329.49$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Phantom | 75c | 283.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked against All authority | 20c | 275$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed against All authority | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Phantom | 66c | 249.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Phantom | 64c | 215.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Phantom | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Phantom | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked against All authority | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked against All authority | 55c | 182.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed against All authority | 18c | 181$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed against All authority | 45c | 174.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 63c | 166.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Phantom | 66c | 165.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked against All authority | 27c | 156.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed against All authority | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked against All authority | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…1f47backed Phantom | 63c | 114.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…650cbacked against All authority | 16c | 100.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 74c | 90.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed against All authority | 27c | 71.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Phantom | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Phantom | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked against All authority | 25c | 62.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked against All authority | 34c | 57.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Phantom | 67c | 52.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked against All authority | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 69c | 47.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…059abacked against All authority | 34c | 41.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…52f0backed Phantom | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Phantom | 61c | 35.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed against All authority | 51c | 32.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Phantom | 70c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 69c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Phantom | 68c | 23.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Phantom | 68c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom - Map 1 Winneragainst All authority won
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.