TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Shymkent 2: Tomasz Berkieta vs Mathys Erhard

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mathys Erhardof Tomasz Berkieta, Mathys Erhard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Tomasz Berkieta13c18,108$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.018,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mathys Erhard77c3,448$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.334,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Mathys Erhard76c2,465$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.4362061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Tomasz Berkieta20c1,285$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0738013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tomasz Berkieta20c1,213$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.018,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tomasz Berkieta36c937.54$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5438931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Tomasz Berkieta46c844.98$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.694050%20 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Tomasz Berkieta14c812.91$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8135436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tomasz Berkieta20c692.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.374,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Mathys Erhard54c656.43$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8515337.9%58 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Tomasz Berkieta12c598.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8548214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Tomasz Berkieta23c586.17$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.641,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Tomasz Berkieta46c534.28$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.415040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Tomasz Berkieta12c522.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.115648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Tomasz Berkieta32c502.67$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3996035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Tomasz Berkieta20c476.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mathys Erhard54c373.47$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.896,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tomasz Berkieta31c338.15$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.051,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Tomasz Berkieta18c326.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.961,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Tomasz Berkieta20c317.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.584040%16 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Mathys Erhard54c300.35$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1625245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Tomasz Berkieta12c266.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.631,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Tomasz Berkieta12c266.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6360355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Tomasz Berkieta37c262.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.238739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Tomasz Berkieta47c252.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6997745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Tomasz Berkieta14c245.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5322359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mathys Erhard56c237.62$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.421,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Tomasz Berkieta43c236.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7534549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Mathys Erhard74c232.88$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2656754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Tomasz Berkieta12c213.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5728348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mathys Erhard75c198.55$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.473,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Tomasz Berkieta23c193.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.163052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Mathys Erhard51c188.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7821560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Tomasz Berkieta43c179.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2621149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c13…ef2ebacked Mathys Erhard52c149.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.722740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mathys Erhard71c144.77$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.179,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Mathys Erhard70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0973350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mathys Erhard70c121.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.387,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Tomasz Berkieta27c120.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5427247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Tomasz Berkieta43c115.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.845250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa39…e4afbacked Tomasz Berkieta15c112.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.092714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Tomasz Berkieta48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Mathys Erhard71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296068.3%41 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Tomasz Berkieta15c94.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2429519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88f6…9f6cbacked Tomasz Berkieta46c92.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Mathys Erhard54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4241850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb128…9916backed Tomasz Berkieta12c89.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Mathys Erhard54c86.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.784850%24 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Mathys Erhard72c85.07$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8725265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Mathys Erhard53c84.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6542344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Mathys Erhard75c80.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3556070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Mathys Erhard54c79.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.232,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Tomasz Berkieta28c77.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3750644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Tomasz Berkieta43c76.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8196844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ab…9b4bbacked Mathys Erhard54c73.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.963063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Mathys Erhard56c72.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8225745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tomasz Berkieta46c72.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.381,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Mathys Erhard56c69.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8826953.2%143 W · 126 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Mathys Erhard55c65.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2632247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed Mathys Erhard57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.817848.9%87 W · 91 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Tomasz Berkieta43c57.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9274955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Mathys Erhard79c56.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Mathys Erhard56c55.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3613552.6%71 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Mathys Erhard73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.619474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Tomasz Berkieta45c54.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.554143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Mathys Erhard54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8513458.2%78 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Tomasz Berkieta44c53.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.581256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Tomasz Berkieta30c53.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.131,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Mathys Erhard57c53.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8310751.4%55 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Mathys Erhard55c53.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.886956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Tomasz Berkieta36c52.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Tomasz Berkieta28c51.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.355137.3%19 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mathys Erhard73c50.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.714,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mathys Erhard55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c14…6ef9backed Tomasz Berkieta40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Tomasz Berkieta32c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0483047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Mathys Erhard54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.717755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Tomasz Berkieta43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3231563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Tomasz Berkieta43c44.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1510461.5%64 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Tomasz Berkieta53c40.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Tomasz Berkieta30c39.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8639039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Mathys Erhard55c35.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.017665.8%50 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Mathys Erhard55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9246848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mathys Erhard66c34.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.666,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Mathys Erhard57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.755059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…239cbacked Tomasz Berkieta50c33.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.975742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tomasz Berkieta37c33.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.243,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Tomasz Berkieta45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5135157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Tomasz Berkieta45c31.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0271…5673backed Mathys Erhard72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mathys Erhard53c26.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…31b5backed Tomasz Berkieta44c26.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Mathys Erhard77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Mathys Erhard54c25.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7958665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Mathys Erhard53c25.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.82552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a69…97fdbacked Tomasz Berkieta45c24.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc09…f937backed Mathys Erhard50c23.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mathys Erhard56c22.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.891,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea0…fcddbacked Mathys Erhard75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Mathys Erhard64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211846.6%55 W · 63 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.