Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Luca Potenza vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0317f78c49ad166401ebfcc0ae15156f7fd64d08e708dfcf2061afaf606ad380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aleksandar Kovacevicof Luca Potenza, Aleksandar Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luca Potenza | 5c | 11,739$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.2 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Luca Potenza | 10c | 7,073$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.23 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Luca Potenza | 10c | 2,670$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Luca Potenza | 11c | 2,419$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Luca Potenza | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Luca Potenza | 18c | 1,699$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Luca Potenza | 10c | 1,434$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Luca Potenza | 17c | 683.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Luca Potenza | 13c | 608.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Luca Potenza | 11c | 562$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 464 | 39.7%184 W · 280 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Luca Potenza | 12c | 417.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Luca Potenza | 13c | 373.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Luca Potenza | 15c | 321.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Luca Potenza | 11c | 289.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Luca Potenza | 14c | 281.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luca Potenza | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Luca Potenza | 11c | 246$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Luca Potenza | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Luca Potenza | 13c | 166$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luca Potenza | 16c | 157.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Luca Potenza | 18c | 154.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Luca Potenza | 12c | 131.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x020e…69c1backed Luca Potenza | 9c | 126.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Luca Potenza | 19c | 104.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Luca Potenza | 11c | 102.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Luca Potenza | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.