MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb28918984d251d7183b0c24983563faecd23cc365deebc9d90901a63e64981d4

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $139,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over	50c	100,000$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,000	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	311	49.2%153 W · 158 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,199.99	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under	61c	9,046$5,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,540.94	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	50c	8,469$4,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,222.71	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…bf8cbacked Under	50c	5,075$2,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,537.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x881e…9fbfbacked Over	48c	3,862$1,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,008.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	3,781$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.43	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	48c	2,750$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	2,600$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.88	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	51c	1,590$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.21	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	50c	1,523$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.23	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	50c	1,519$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.41	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	39c	1,503$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	51c	906.9$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.38	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	50c	782.44$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.89	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over	48c	650.27$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.14	674	44.1%297 W · 377 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	50c	628.6$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.3	293	54.9%161 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	49c	592.81$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.48	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	50c	587.29$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.22	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	50c	542.06$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.69	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	51c	528$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.72	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	49c	499.99$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	46c	415.73$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.1	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	40c	402.39$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.3	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Under	78c	386.77$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	55c	363.63$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	51c	360.76$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.18	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	50c	321.2$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.6	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	52c	318.58$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.66	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x678a…ac4dbacked Over	50c	309.99$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.64	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	50c	287$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.5	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	51c	247.2$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.86	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under	50c	230$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	228	49.1%112 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under	50c	226$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under	49c	216.03$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.85	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	356	50.6%180 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	193	48.7%94 W · 99 L	+15.6wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+16%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	49c	199.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed7b…7b92backed Over	53c	188.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.59	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	49c	182.27$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.54	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacab…4e20backed Under	48c	181.25$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	443	48.5%215 W · 228 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	49c	171.06$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.27	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked Over	51c	170$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.3	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under	50c	167.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	35c	153.29$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.71	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over	51c	150$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.5	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	52c	149.99$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.25	272	48.5%132 W · 140 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2578…b2a6backed Under	70c	139.24$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.01	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	70c	134.2$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.12	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over	51c	117.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over	51c	117.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over	51c	115.35$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.52	185	51.4%95 W · 90 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	170	58.2%99 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Over	68c	84.17$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.73	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	50c	71.44$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	49c	70.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.87	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over	51c	69.02$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.82	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over	51c	68.63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3255…ffb9backed Over	48c	62.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.34	180	53.9%97 W · 83 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	49c	62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over	48c	61$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.72	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-8.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	36c	60.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c74…14d6backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	50c	58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1,053	47.3%498 W · 555 L	-14.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	51c	54.76$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.83	344	52.6%181 W · 163 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under	57c	53.34$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	273	54.6%149 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	48c	52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	213	53.5%114 W · 99 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	49c	50.04$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.52	509	49.5%252 W · 257 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d79…1aabbacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	47c	47.82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240c…4c62backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.7wins	-0.33per pick	48cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Under	50c	39.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-5.3wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-37%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under	50c	39.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	225	54.7%123 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under	49c	39.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	1,367	54.3%742 W · 625 L	+16.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Under	55c	37.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	246	54.9%135 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	31c	36.85$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.42	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under	50c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	47c	31.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	325	50.5%164 W · 161 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	51c	30.12$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.76	452	46.2%209 W · 243 L	-18.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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