MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e268eb49ba9c89268d4017df611ec036dbccd3a845991d457dd1e3206e21ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Minnesota Twins, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 31,007$15,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,986.59 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 30,413$12,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,793.58 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 19,231$9,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,807.69 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 16,687$8,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,343.5 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,349.99 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 13,279$7,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 13,197$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.03 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 9,827$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 9,467$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.92 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 9,367$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.19 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 9,168$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.36 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 7,461$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.37 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 7,002$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 5,159$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 4,800$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,797$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.41 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 4,711$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,700$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 4,137$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 4,054$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.32 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,935$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.69 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Minnesota Twins | 7c | 3,495$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins | 0c | 3,374$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,891$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.13 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 2,455$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,270$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.48 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 2,205$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.6 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 2,007$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.34 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,004$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,992$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,767$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.09 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,739$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.03 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 1,632$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.36 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,485$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,430$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.51 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,309$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,305$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.58 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,300$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 1,265$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,222$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,192$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.36 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,088$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 896$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 828.21$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.69 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 799.96$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Minnesota Twins | 6c | 773.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 763.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 749$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.95 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 708.37$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 657.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 619$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 583$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 540$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 537.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 517.05$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 509.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 502.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 500$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.98 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 489.04$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.29 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 481.52$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 481$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 475.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 471.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 469.61$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 419.48$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 395$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.67 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 390.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…7af1backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 367$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 356.69$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 356.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 327.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 307.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 264.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 259.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 259.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 234.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 229.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 222.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 222.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 220$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.