South American Leagues · resolved market
O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x420a55db732e26d605b3fe00d92c1ac9319e267ece2f935febb5a7a23784dbba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.11 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,189$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 47c | 1,010$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 367.31$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 299.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 71c | 110.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 54c | 29.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 77c | 23.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked Under | 55c | 23.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 51c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 45c | 22.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5this page
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 1.5Over won
- O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-1.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.