MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb59e8bbf748920f02ea8f54793a4a0789b4be2eab526180c25b604fe3af5d770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 4,864$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.8 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 2,984$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 1,896$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 52c | 1,473$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.98 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 1,164$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 1,105$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.55 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 987.92$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 52c | 590.93$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 52c | 567.66$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Over | 41c | 545.2$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 48c | 519.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.39 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 482.63$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 421.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 53c | 416.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 79c | 316$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Over | 53c | 304.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 292.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 287.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 52c | 256.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 219.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 216$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 52c | 181.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 48c | 179.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 132.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 129.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 26c | 111.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 88.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 84.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 52c | 81.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Over | 52c | 74.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 53c | 43.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 52c | 42.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 73c | 41.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 30.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…560ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Under | 49c | 28.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 27.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 73c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Over | 52c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 48c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Over | 52c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Over | 52c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.