South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5604068785a275c3d3a9dfa56fe99b74091f6f42d7597fcb0e386cface240c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 2,445$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.77 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 1,338$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.67 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 812.71$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.11 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 44c | 614.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 17c | 561.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Under | 65c | 404.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 387.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 23c | 299.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 61c | 235.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 225.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 27c | 159.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 61c | 140.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 125.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 41c | 82.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Under | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 59.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 21c | 54.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 47c | 53.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 53.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Over | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 42c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 48c | 43.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Under | 69c | 42.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 61c | 38.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 52c | 36.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…45fbbacked Under | 63c | 31.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 73c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…0aa0backed Under | 58c | 25.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 74c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 74c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d36…97f7backed Under | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 80c | 12.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.