South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7e012a7c7efa23e8854552a0443c882dbf48d36d1b298dba920093f39b6139b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 5,203$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 41c | 540.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 51c | 411$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 349.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 68c | 288.72$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 61c | 256.16$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 38c | 228.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 40c | 188.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 178.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 39c | 135.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 39c | 130.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 41c | 121.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 39c | 118.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 116.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 100.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 67c | 88.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 68c | 72.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 48.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 69c | 41.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 41.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 38c | 39.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 37.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 68c | 32.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Yes | 41c | 25.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.