Tennis · resolved market
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Cesar Bouchelaghem
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e449ff357c570185b5f4b5d27fb8a4f785e6c336c35afb7d77b2669722677c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maks Kasnikowskiof Maks Kasnikowski, Cesar Bouchelaghem
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 3c | 16,600$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 18c | 2,619$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 8c | 1,779$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 23c | 902.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 15c | 639.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 11c | 596.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 19c | 376.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 6c | 368.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 17c | 339.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 7c | 302.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 15c | 294.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 6c | 292.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 12c | 288.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 21c | 148.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 21c | 140.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 76c | 136.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 20c | 121.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maks Kasnikowski | 80c | 111.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Maks Kasnikowski | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 27c | 92.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Cesar Bouchelaghem | 26c | 78.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 29c | 70.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 72c | 67.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Maks Kasnikowski | 73c | 52.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Cesar Bouchelaghem | 26c | 48.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Maks Kasnikowski | 75c | 35.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Maks Kasnikowski | 72c | 24.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 222 | 62.6%139 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Maks Kasnikowski | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Maks Kasnikowski | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Maks Kasnikowski | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.