South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd3616c1b2c14c7f8501b6a389de2c8bb2a585cad162e7d2d7874f6aba72cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed Yes | 0c | 42,079$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 0c | 19,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…a6c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,422$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 1c | 2,956$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,750$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 591.72$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 14c | 179.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 175$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Yes | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed No | 64c | 58.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 64c | 51.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 26c | 50.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Yes | 27c | 38.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…34b3backed Yes | 36c | 36.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 32.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 64c | 30.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 74c | 26.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 74c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…f3efbacked No | 75c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 65c | 19.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…0d30backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 64c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?No won
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.