South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68fc84f6f4e6d85f0e6b7323ab025687057d8fe80f8032f87da6434ae7a613b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 0c | 45,185$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 0c | 44,979$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 0c | 37,718$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed No | 0c | 22,314$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 0c | 22,255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 54c | 14,783$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.51 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 13,156$5,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,767.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 0c | 10,617$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked No | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 27c | 1,673$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.01 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 57c | 1,299$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.89 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,139$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 39c | 902.06$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.53 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 44c | 781.72$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 13c | 700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 50c | 664.68$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 16c | 606.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 13c | 543.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 65c | 325$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 61c | 281$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed No | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 13c | 223.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 65c | 191.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 20c | 182$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 53c | 170.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 66c | 155.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 34c | 150.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 65c | 131$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 65c | 124$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 47c | 86.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…95c7backed Yes | 43c | 86.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 62c | 70.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed No | 66c | 69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…a6c0backed Yes | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 17c | 59.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 58.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 37c | 54.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 51.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 65c | 50.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 73c | 47.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…f29cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 61c | 41.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 37c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…b455backed Yes | 35c | 31.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 34c | 30.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 66c | 23.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed No | 62c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed No | 65c | 17.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.