South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1531c584ee003e25c78a03b1bb505ecc11cd697e14a5566b8425a561fa1332a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Yes | 16c | 999.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 13c | 968.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…673ebacked Yes | 13c | 931.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 13c | 763.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 633.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 16c | 328.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 18c | 266.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 224.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 40c | 206.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 17c | 199.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…4f0ebacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 158.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 155.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 147.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 114.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 102.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 30c | 102.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 13c | 90.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 30c | 84.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 72.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Yes | 32c | 41.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 38c | 41.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 80c | 35.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 57c | 29.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 80c | 26.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.