South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbabae1d394f3009ba55f1af44a937bf1d532dba1b13d2c20c017e675aac1e1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 5,172$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.39 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 71c | 2,771$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.59 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 71c | 724.75$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.18 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 29c | 714.45$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 650$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 71c | 325$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 311.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 246$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 169.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 33c | 150.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 138$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 133.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 73c | 119.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 88.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 75.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 63c | 72.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 71c | 72.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 79c | 70.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 64c | 47.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 44c | 46.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 41.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 70c | 41.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 44c | 40.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 37.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 65c | 35.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 74c | 34.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 54c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 72c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.