Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b17296abd2b0830ac633be56c5f1594cb3ecc07866d52d15b72a400def49a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 17,461$10,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,303.6 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 56c | 13,944$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,204.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 7,651$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.25 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 4,675$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.21 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 71c | 3,652$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.86 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 71c | 2,984$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,671$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 2,459$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.6 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,432$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 69c | 2,121$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.19 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,027$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 57c | 1,636$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.19 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 1,555$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.89 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,471$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.91 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 29c | 1,436$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 41c | 1,412$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 57c | 1,090$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 1,050$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.5 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 17c | 950.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 801.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.67 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 29c | 726.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 703.56$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.88 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 72c | 696.43$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…d13abacked Yes | 44c | 660.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 71c | 623.94$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 29c | 600.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.03 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 63c | 571.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 59c | 564.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.34 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 71c | 559.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.59 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 29c | 544.73$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 41c | 538.76$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 79c | 520.83$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 31c | 513.31$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 29c | 507.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 21c | 496.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 77c | 424.07$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 37c | 422.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 29c | 396.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c40bbacked Yes | 56c | 383.42$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 35c | 378.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 31c | 375.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 42c | 368.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…9f9fbacked Yes | 77c | 322.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 314.43$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed No | 71c | 301.1$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes | 49c | 300.27$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes | 37c | 299.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 297.34$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 295.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 34c | 292.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 11c | 286.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 30c | 281.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 29c | 280.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 29c | 269.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 37c | 237.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 214.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 214.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 78c | 209.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 51c | 201.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 78c | 197.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked No | 18c | 183.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 29c | 177.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes | 23c | 175$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 60c | 170.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Yes | 76c | 168.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 23c | 153.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 35c | 149.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 142.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 33c | 135.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 31c | 123.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed No | 79c | 119.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 30c | 111.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Yes | 30c | 111.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 71c | 110.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 20c | 104.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Yes | 30c | 104.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 28c | 97.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 60c | 84.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…0ef3backed Yes | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 58c | 82.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…55a6backed Yes | 30c | 80.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.