Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5070b530f364c1378d036239291fba58a87cb5f772e0d27db35fae43d138e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $433,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 33c | 77,489$25,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,624.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 32c | 48,596$15,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,550.84 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 23c | 16,010$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,256.99 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 68c | 14,392$9,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Yes | 34c | 13,985$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 31c | 13,807$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.45 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 11,944$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.25 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 63c | 11,785$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.48 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 11,195$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 33c | 9,871$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.06 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 8,587$5,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.82 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 28c | 7,427$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.75 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 68c | 5,404$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.35 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 5,317$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.93 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 68c | 5,255$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.45 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 5,206$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.43 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 4,323$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.7 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 1c | 3,151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 67c | 3,007$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.31 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 68c | 2,981$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.05 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,792$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 2,769$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.82 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 31c | 2,474$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.86 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,998$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 68c | 1,981$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 47c | 1,904$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.97 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 30c | 1,813$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 65c | 1,753$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.63 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,640$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.85 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 20c | 1,635$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 71c | 1,626$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.09 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…b9c5backed No | 68c | 1,529$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 12c | 1,395$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 56c | 1,369$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.56 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 1,300$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.72 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 68c | 1,233$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 36c | 1,181$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 68c | 1,102$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 67c | 1,098$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 66c | 1,055$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked No | 68c | 1,030$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 1,009$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.96 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 67c | 980.2$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes | 33c | 966.53$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 68c | 960.6$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 10c | 935.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 68c | 921.05$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.53 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 23c | 876.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 862.08$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 30c | 857.52$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.45 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…d13abacked Yes | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Yes | 56c | 832.23$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 826.26$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 804.91$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 31c | 798.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Yes | 31c | 773.06$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 764.53$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 67c | 747.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 69c | 729.23$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 32c | 702.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked Yes | 33c | 699.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 37c | 698.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 66c | 694.22$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.03 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 69c | 660.84$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 67c | 659.83$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 32c | 659.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…e722backed Yes | 50c | 603.19$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 67c | 588.15$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff3b…9f3fbacked Yes | 36c | 533.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 21c | 509.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 33c | 489.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 32c | 429.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 32c | 420$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 67c | 420$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 67c | 420$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…e440backed Yes | 33c | 409.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 67c | 394.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed No | 67c | 392.08$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 384.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 25c | 382.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 66c | 378$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.