Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ddaa3284b7843fb77b628460d87284b7cf440a4cc7dfe942536053de6106d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 50c | 2,096$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,080$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.51 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,709$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.62 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 37c | 1,044$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.85 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 975.95$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.91 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 635.13$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.44 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Under | 30c | 582$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under | 32c | 530.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.78 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 12c | 299.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 49c | 265.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 255.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 80c | 250.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 248$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 231$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 218.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 181.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 136.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 68c | 81.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 40c | 72.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 72.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 68.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 61.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under | 67c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Under | 79c | 25.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.