Fifa International · resolved market
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb3656b3a1eac6264b2a16a515dea47e71bf6402641938736f75bf9bbba42b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 42c | 46,511$19,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,005.25 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 57c | 11,111$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.17 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked No | 1c | 10,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.99 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed No | 59c | 9,933$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.76 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 58c | 8,922$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.91 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 58c | 6,468$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.48 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed No | 60c | 5,285$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.29 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 4,034$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.91 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.96 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.88 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed No | 59c | 3,556$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.04 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 59c | 3,235$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.66 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.01 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 58c | 2,435$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.21 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 59c | 2,015$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.84 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.96 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 1,580$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.46 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,422$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.72 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 57c | 1,392$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.36 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…57b1backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Yes | 48c | 1,020$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.94 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 40c | 938.28$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.97 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 63c | 843.65$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.65 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Yes | 41c | 778.59$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 37c | 743.65$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.15 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 61c | 709.98$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 619.36$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.15 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 22c | 560$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 42c | 468.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 52c | 466.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed No | 59c | 419.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 41c | 363.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.13 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Yes | 38c | 315.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…ca11backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 43c | 279.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 41c | 263.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.27 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed No | 62c | 261$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 59c | 254$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 60c | 254$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 58c | 250.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked No | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…39bfbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed No | 59c | 249.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 62c | 249.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 47c | 249.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…cedbbacked No | 60c | 249$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…e343backed No | 54c | 242.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 53c | 240.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…b568backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6b12backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes | 42c | 234.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…f2e1backed Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0701…f939backed No | 59c | 177.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 171.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked No | 61c | 171.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…5c77backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 156.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 42c | 156.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed No | 59c | 155.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 58c | 144.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…b993backed Yes | 41c | 125.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 58c | 125$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 176 | 38.1%67 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…c9e7backed Yes | 41c | 119.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…afacbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes | 42c | 116.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsthis page
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 2+ assistsNo won
- Gabriel Martinelli: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 5+ shotsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 2+ shotsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ shotsNo won
- Rayan: 1+ assistsYes won
- Rayan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ assistsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 2+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 2+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 3+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 5+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.