Fifa International · resolved market
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5385996ceadc87c56dfd669f2d80fbcc5867fdfff1a71534b4dd6af9e747c5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x703b…1956backed Yes | 27c | 23,395$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 75c | 14,385$10,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.19 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 69c | 5,777$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.87 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 71c | 4,461$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.12 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 3,007$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.3 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 69c | 2,187$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.94 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 23c | 2,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 73c | 1,571$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 19c | 1,442$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 40c | 1,241$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,005$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 72c | 729.15$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.32 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 628.71$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…bb9ebacked No | 76c | 574.98$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 19c | 536.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked No | 77c | 525.02$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed No | 75c | 500.07$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 20c | 490.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…9260backed Yes | 24c | 459.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 23c | 442.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed No | 74c | 432.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 24c | 358.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…e718backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed No | 77c | 284.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…dbabbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…d779backed Yes | 30c | 261$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 64c | 257.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed No | 80c | 250.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 20c | 250.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 71c | 237.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 22c | 230.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…3c36backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…4f2abacked Yes | 27c | 202.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 73c | 199.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…fe5ebacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 32c | 190.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 26c | 177.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 23c | 170.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…9f20backed Yes | 29c | 169.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 30c | 166.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…e7a8backed Yes | 21c | 164.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…5994backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 36c | 140.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 21c | 140.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 31c | 127.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…6253backed Yes | 20c | 125.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 116.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…f2e1backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2b31backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…389fbacked Yes | 20c | 98.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 97.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c8…ea3dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda98…3b32backed Yes | 43c | 93.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…bb13backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 75c | 83.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 67c | 77.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 57c | 77.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…1604backed Yes | 26c | 76.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…764fbacked Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…7aebbacked Yes | 27c | 74.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…fc58backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 63.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…3501backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…c6b9backed No | 74c | 59.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 32c | 59.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…6f3dbacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…6aa2backed Yes | 27c | 56.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…addabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes | 24c | 50.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2896…aa24backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Yes | 25c | 49.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…d5c8backed Yes | 41c | 48.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…0567backed Yes | 31c | 45.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…593ebacked No | 77c | 39.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 63c | 39.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e39cbacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 69c | 34.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsthis page
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 2+ assistsNo won
- Gabriel Martinelli: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 5+ shotsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 2+ shotsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ shotsNo won
- Rayan: 1+ assistsYes won
- Rayan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ assistsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 2+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 2+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 3+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 5+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.