Fifa International · resolved market
Scott McTominay: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f446d2e65f53d600f31a9f85f459f3bfd24df5a14233924344bebc54f01f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Yes | 55c | 982.19$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 51c | 692$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.38 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 49c | 587$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 45c | 477.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 45c | 341.88$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 46c | 220$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed No | 45c | 219.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…4461backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 48c | 173.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 88.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…ef7cbacked Yes | 50c | 56.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 45c | 46.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 55c | 35.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +13.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scott McTominay: 2+ shotsthis page
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 2+ assistsNo won
- Gabriel Martinelli: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 5+ shotsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 2+ shotsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ shotsNo won
- Rayan: 1+ assistsYes won
- Rayan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ assistsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 1+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 2+ goalsNo won
- Scott McTominay: 3+ shotsYes won
- Scott McTominay: 5+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.