TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AG.AL Internationalof MIBR LOS, AG.AL International
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked AG.AL International54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9928955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MIBR LOS46c13,374$6,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,151.9724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed AG.AL International53c3,716$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.434356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MIBR LOS1c1,535$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4339166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…4d0dbacked MIBR LOS47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed MIBR LOS46c751$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.469845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed MIBR LOS46c688.21$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR LOS46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27636648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR LOS43c576.27$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.855152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked AG.AL International50c548.07$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.034452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked MIBR LOS47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked MIBR LOS47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…6625backed MIBR LOS50c400.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3006…780fbacked MIBR LOS46c338.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed AG.AL International54c311.89$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4725556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked MIBR LOS47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed MIBR LOS47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked MIBR LOS47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.512650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44b…4048backed MIBR LOS49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked MIBR LOS47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed MIBR LOS45c179.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8728541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xba6c…618bbacked AG.AL International54c173.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4d…6211backed MIBR LOS47c161.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked AG.AL International53c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.56347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed AG.AL International57c116.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked MIBR LOS45c110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.516241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed AG.AL International56c102.72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7211159.5%66 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed AG.AL International52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed MIBR LOS46c93.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked AG.AL International55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked AG.AL International57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7212949.6%64 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdc…778abacked MIBR LOS47c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.424045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed MIBR LOS50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed MIBR LOS46c74.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.159859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d5d…c813backed AG.AL International55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked AG.AL International54c55.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5513043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed MIBR LOS49c53.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed AG.AL International54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238444%37 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e42…b805backed AG.AL International50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked AG.AL International36c41.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.72825%7 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed AG.AL International52c40.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked AG.AL International54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.488652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed AG.AL International57c35.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1218465.2%120 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed AG.AL International50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed MIBR LOS47c32.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.143059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3661…32d1backed AG.AL International54c29.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed AG.AL International55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0926051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf0…2b6dbacked AG.AL International57c28.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed AG.AL International55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3549255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed MIBR LOS47c22.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.438454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae15…4998backed AG.AL International57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed AG.AL International55c18.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33959%23 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.