Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs JiaYi Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb25a008986ccd55e30f8c8f6fc0a59c179e51d57b798821a013698e51b5b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JiaYi Wangof Maria Kalyakina, JiaYi Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Maria Kalyakina | 16c | 27,596$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Maria Kalyakina | 36c | 13,783$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.39 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked JiaYi Wang | 75c | 11,873$8,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.9 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed JiaYi Wang | 74c | 4,319$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.13 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked JiaYi Wang | 77c | 1,924$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed JiaYi Wang | 68c | 1,907$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maria Kalyakina | 26c | 1,662$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.19 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked JiaYi Wang | 73c | 1,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Maria Kalyakina | 34c | 1,053$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Maria Kalyakina | 26c | 1,042$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Maria Kalyakina | 25c | 805.02$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed JiaYi Wang | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Kalyakina | 31c | 599.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.86 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed JiaYi Wang | 68c | 584.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked JiaYi Wang | 69c | 565.11$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Maria Kalyakina | 33c | 473.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Maria Kalyakina | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 23c | 346.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Kalyakina | 20c | 326.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed JiaYi Wang | 68c | 289$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed JiaYi Wang | 64c | 261$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Maria Kalyakina | 15c | 221.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Maria Kalyakina | 19c | 164.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Maria Kalyakina | 36c | 163.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JiaYi Wang | 62c | 154.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Maria Kalyakina | 36c | 152.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked JiaYi Wang | 67c | 149.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed JiaYi Wang | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked JiaYi Wang | 78c | 143.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Maria Kalyakina | 17c | 143.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 15c | 142.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed JiaYi Wang | 64c | 136.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Maria Kalyakina | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 33c | 89.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…5d8ebacked JiaYi Wang | 74c | 88.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked JiaYi Wang | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed JiaYi Wang | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fb…d4dabacked JiaYi Wang | 69c | 73.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked JiaYi Wang | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Maria Kalyakina | 33c | 68.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed JiaYi Wang | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked JiaYi Wang | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed JiaYi Wang | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed JiaYi Wang | 75c | 55.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 35c | 54.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Maria Kalyakina | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed JiaYi Wang | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Maria Kalyakina | 23c | 49.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked JiaYi Wang | 66c | 46.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Maria Kalyakina | 34c | 46.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…ad6abacked Maria Kalyakina | 32c | 46.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed JiaYi Wang | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked JiaYi Wang | 61c | 41.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked JiaYi Wang | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed JiaYi Wang | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed JiaYi Wang | 80c | 38.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked JiaYi Wang | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked JiaYi Wang | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Maria Kalyakina | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Maria Kalyakina | 33c | 32.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed JiaYi Wang | 65c | 29.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed JiaYi Wang | 64c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed JiaYi Wang | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked JiaYi Wang | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked JiaYi Wang | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed JiaYi Wang | 71c | 22.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed JiaYi Wang | 66c | 21.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked JiaYi Wang | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed JiaYi Wang | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked JiaYi Wang | 78c | 19.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked JiaYi Wang | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed JiaYi Wang | 64c | 16.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed JiaYi Wang | 77c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed JiaYi Wang | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 69 | 75.4%52 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked JiaYi Wang | 68c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.