South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b0d7dd796db067ec8a2e0adeccae7c35fa9520d74bf71eee18c5d91a5c3913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 64c | 4,675$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 48c | 4,174$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 3,635$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 42c | 3,474$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.23 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 48c | 2,092$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 1,887$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.99 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 1,731$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.27 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,692$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…0c80backed Over | 53c | 1,643$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Under | 48c | 1,133$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 55c | 965.12$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 64c | 704.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 654.51$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Over | 61c | 475.41$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 46c | 273.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 39c | 267.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 41c | 259.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 55c | 245.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 215.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 49c | 205.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 59c | 191.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 53c | 190.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 57c | 170.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 59c | 98.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…2d17backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 38c | 91.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 60c | 87.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 83.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 82.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 54c | 71.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 52c | 59.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 35c | 59.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 53.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Over | 53c | 53.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 39c | 38.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 31c | 37.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 65c | 35.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 64c | 28.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Over | 80c | 19.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.