South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x146a0c2f1edf7f5b11bd9901815a9f7a0ea388fe62a7560485d654db105df90a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlético San Luisof Tigres de la UANL, Atlético San Luis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Atlético San Luis | 59c | 2,373$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.83 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Tigres de la UANL | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tigres de la UANL | 34c | 799.22$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlético San Luis | 67c | 702.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Tigres de la UANL | 40c | 478.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Tigres de la UANL | 41c | 439.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Tigres de la UANL | 24c | 424.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Atlético San Luis | 57c | 387.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tigres de la UANL | 43c | 368.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Tigres de la UANL | 40c | 341.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Atlético San Luis | 59c | 204.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Atlético San Luis | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Tigres de la UANL | 46c | 101.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Atlético San Luis | 68c | 83.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Tigres de la UANL | 34c | 83.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…ca02backed Atlético San Luis | 64c | 76.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tigres de la UANL | 39c | 59.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tigres de la UANL | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Tigres de la UANL | 34c | 46.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Tigres de la UANL | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Atlético San Luis | 54c | 41.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Atlético San Luis | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlético San Luis | 54c | 33.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Tigres de la UANL | 34c | 31.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Atlético San Luis | 68c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Atlético San Luis | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.