South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83057aee5ca248ca74dd075e420a8107d737609d45cefc7142923ca28a72bef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 0c | 54,801$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 10,617$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.81 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 6,441$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 56c | 2,829$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.31 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,148$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 2,116$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.68 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 1,712$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.92 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…4b60backed Over | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 46c | 1,038$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.96 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 41c | 943.13$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 53c | 724.02$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 48c | 533.94$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.41 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 31c | 505.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 32c | 504$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.04 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 37c | 489.86$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Under | 48c | 435.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 69c | 272$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 35c | 270$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 46c | 254.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 239.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 47c | 227.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 54c | 171.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 36c | 158.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 31c | 144.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.3wins | +0.36per pick | 59cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 142.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 36c | 137.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 52c | 124.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 78.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 55c | 77.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 46c | 73.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 31c | 61.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…84e1backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 37c | 47.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…e3c6backed Under | 30c | 40.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 49c | 37.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…551abacked Over | 53c | 35.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 58c | 33.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 36c | 28.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…d893backed Over | 57c | 26.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 57c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a13…7ba3backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b11dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Over | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.