Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbd3941e9f88bb27ab1f37380d1720b1f35276ce1feff0b010683c1ee1ef370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 18c | 1,895$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.8 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 43c | 1,202$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.09 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 24c | 782.63$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.58 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 22c | 440.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed No | 24c | 419.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 75c | 417$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 34c | 409.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.44 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 72c | 303.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 34c | 298.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 73c | 296.87$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 5c | 229.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 9c | 220.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 77c | 214$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 28c | 211.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…ef14backed Yes | 30c | 205.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 197.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 71c | 193.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 31c | 189.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 7c | 178.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 10c | 158.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 13c | 154.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 14c | 149.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Yes | 41c | 134.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed Yes | 59c | 125.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 23c | 119.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 21c | 116.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 78c | 113.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 74c | 101$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 73c | 98.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 148 | 78.4%116 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 98.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 45c | 91.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 85.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 76c | 82.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Yes | 19c | 79.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 72.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 60c | 71.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 69.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…66bdbacked No | 76c | 64.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 73c | 62.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 60.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked No | 76c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…234ebacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 18c | 57.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 76c | 57.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…56d9backed No | 27c | 54.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 22c | 51.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b9ebbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 67c | 49.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 42.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 51c | 39.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 37.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…1757backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…14babacked No | 72c | 27.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 75.2%115 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 55c | 27.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…09abbacked No | 65c | 25.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 161 | 61.5%99 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 80c | 25.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 79c | 24.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 77c | 23.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 77c | 19.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…c58bbacked No | 77c | 17.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 74c | 17.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 72c | 15.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 67c | 15.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.