World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067e2c0ac1a52127a5c7809dce926d1e3e561c187ecc6f7e31e134382413ed2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 11c | 779.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.44 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 618.67$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.49 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 70c | 602.78$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.76 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 11c | 533.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.36 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 34c | 441.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.11 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 23c | 406.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.78 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 20c | 336.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 9c | 329.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 29c | 325$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 11c | 291.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.02 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 64c | 277.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed Yes | 53c | 272.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 264$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 29c | 260.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 256.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 232.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 217.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…477dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…ba1abacked Yes | 72c | 199.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 9c | 179.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 21c | 166.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 78c | 164.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 24c | 164.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 74c | 162.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Yes | 24c | 157.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 79c | 155.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Yes | 10c | 142.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…bcccbacked No | 73c | 137.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 132.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4b…8176backed No | 61c | 130.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 45c | 129.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 128$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 71c | 122.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 73c | 118.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 23c | 117.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 25c | 116.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 57c | 109.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 15c | 100.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 17c | 100.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 78c | 99.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 80c | 93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 46c | 91.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 59c | 90.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 89.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 29c | 82.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…467cbacked Yes | 79c | 79.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 78.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7804backed No | 78c | 75.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…b2eebacked Yes | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 49c | 71.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 50c | 71.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 31c | 71.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…7125backed Yes | 77c | 70.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 31c | 69.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 38c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 75c | 66.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 19c | 62.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 39c | 62.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 42c | 58.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 21c | 57.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 76c | 52.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 80c | 48.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 32c | 48.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked No | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…c1b5backed Yes | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 50c | 42.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed No | 33c | 38.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…ba60backed No | 72c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 56c | 37.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 80c | 37.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 37.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 54c | 35.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 53c | 35.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…e95cbacked Yes | 80c | 31.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 59c | 30.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…bcadbacked Yes | 54c | 30.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…68a4backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 45c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 61c | 25.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…09abbacked No | 55c | 25.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 76c | 21.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…233fbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…4abebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 70c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 74c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 63c | 16.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…8e07backed No | 79c | 15.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…f085backed No | 76c | 13.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed No | 79c | 13.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.