World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb4e96511e5a8ec4258c6576f19b6c08ba814dc9a2063a2ad0f3a0f23a218ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,059$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 8c | 701$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 649.83$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 29c | 453.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 11c | 446.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Yes | 11c | 391.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 78c | 362.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 34c | 314.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Yes | 5c | 286.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 17c | 275.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 13c | 260.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 15c | 258.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 10c | 215.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 12c | 187.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 13c | 186.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 186.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 69c | 177.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 174.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 9c | 170.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 23c | 157.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 15c | 152.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc17…886abacked No | 68c | 143$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 18c | 141.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 66c | 138.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 128.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 19c | 128.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 25c | 126.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 17c | 125.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 124.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 72c | 104.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 28c | 101.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 99.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 17c | 95.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 30c | 89.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 38c | 88.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 86.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 65c | 84.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 19c | 79.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 19c | 75.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 75c | 75.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 17c | 75.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…c5dbbacked Yes | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 21c | 71.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 18c | 69.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 53c | 68.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 28c | 64.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…2131backed Yes | 25c | 63.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 74c | 61.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 73c | 56.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 30c | 55.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 30c | 50.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 79cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Yes | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf846…cb9fbacked Yes | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 31c | 44.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…ed00backed Yes | 34c | 44.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…6479backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…94f5backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…ba1abacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 78c | 34.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…6272backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed No | 67c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 70c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 58 | 81%47 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 70c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…cc30backed Yes | 50c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 79c | 27.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 25.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…684cbacked No | 79c | 25.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…c58bbacked No | 78c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.