Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4590b598aefcb72c851371b52d0fd9d89fbfb7c3f9ecc2f1632ec02f349f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 4,433$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 39c | 3,323$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 41c | 1,555$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.73 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 61c | 1,366$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.31 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 61c | 824.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 40c | 307$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…3b01backed Over | 59c | 230.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 42c | 184.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…1dc9backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 42c | 155.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 61c | 119.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 46c | 107.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…59e4backed Over | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 40c | 95.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Over | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 47c | 78.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 68.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 41c | 59.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…45e8backed Over | 61c | 56.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…c6fdbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Over | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…9db2backed Under | 46c | 41.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…248ebacked Over | 59c | 39.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…a5b7backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 40c | 31.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Over | 45c | 23.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerAustralia won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.