Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849c85176f9745a1265fda06a76c218be6c31309904e02fc9150133b8b316b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 20c | 510.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 78c | 251.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 17c | 233.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…5e57backed Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 16c | 79.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 19c | 77.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 59.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 79c | 36.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 79c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 79c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerAustralia won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.