Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ebeeb080d75e2ab0cb2e370cdfce1886a1620894c71007f15a11851e0f97c64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 6,234$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.93 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 1c | 1,639$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Under | 46c | 1,473$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.95 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Under | 45c | 1,130$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.41 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Under | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.65 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 45c | 950.99$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 53c | 934.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.66 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Under | 4c | 932.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Under | 46c | 845.06$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.4 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 794.9$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.19 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 46c | 695.32$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 45c | 674.46$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.51 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 46c | 667.67$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.13 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 505.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.69 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Under | 47c | 406.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 53c | 349.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 47c | 349.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 337.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 44c | 321.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 47c | 313.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 47c | 293$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Over | 54c | 291.81$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 284$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 284$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 269.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 54c | 254.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 45c | 240.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Under | 46c | 191.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…cbc8backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 44c | 183.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…7df5backed Over | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 42c | 149.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 44c | 147.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 59c | 136.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 44c | 132.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Under | 46c | 129.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 10c | 114.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 54c | 93.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 13c | 90.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 69.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 57.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…45e8backed Over | 54c | 51.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 26c | 43.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 76c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…3886backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 69c | 32.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 57c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerAustralia won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.