Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bed0c0c5c2b4cef22c4cb8729a2f3b0d2ac32f72f469823f8d7ccdb03719c4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 41c | 1,196$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.12 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 58c | 1,100$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 57c | 965.8$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 60c | 749.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Over | 42c | 710.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…d6cabacked Over | 44c | 685.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 443.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 63c | 305$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 59c | 295.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 58c | 234$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 37c | 195$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 168.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 26c | 107.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 57c | 106.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 100.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 58c | 60.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 41c | 48.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 59c | 42.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…f771backed Over | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Under | 58c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerAustralia won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.