Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f9888bde117074c9193ca3995893f08db23ccbb13d195850b8541df7d86d7ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 69c | 27,709$19,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,614.63 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 22c | 11,710$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.7 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 8,514$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.26 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 6,547$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.96 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 24c | 4,205$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 46c | 2,845$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 54c | 1,351$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.2 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Under | 19c | 1,045$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 32c | 978.94$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Over | 67c | 813.22$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 74c | 778.38$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 31c | 645$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 566.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 558.81$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 31c | 441.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 48c | 416.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 12c | 306$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 32c | 299.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 64c | 277.43$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 31c | 221$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 68c | 217.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Under | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 68c | 208.72$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 32c | 181$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 62c | 165.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 33c | 139.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 138.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Under | 33c | 127.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed Over | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 48c | 112.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 110.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 33c | 103.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 78c | 97.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 88.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 32c | 86.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 34c | 79.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Under | 70c | 71.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 33c | 69.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 67c | 66.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 31c | 59.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 55.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 31c | 46.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed Under | 33c | 42.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 31c | 39.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 68c | 36.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 70c | 18.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 71c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5this page
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Molde FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Molde FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Molde FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 5.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.