Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73702e5afa9bf9f66d1b39565e94e40b2f92cb38e524c60083081ca15005de8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 2,531$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 22c | 1,933$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.33 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 66c | 1,817$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,466$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 64c | 1,255$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.19 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 61c | 1,200$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.07 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 969.14$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 963$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 861.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Under | 71c | 774.23$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 739.9$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.65 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 34c | 464.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Under | 79c | 228.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Under | 79c | 171.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 107.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 96.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Under | 62c | 88.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 80.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 25c | 49.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 48.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 64c | 40.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…25fbbacked Under | 79c | 33.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5this page
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Molde FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Molde FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: Molde FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 5.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. SK Brann: SK Brann O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.