TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c22,023$17,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,432.361,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c13,436$5,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,781.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over28c6,604$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.2312156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c4,838$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.148,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Under70c4,593$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.441560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c4,266$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.683,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under22c4,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1401,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c2,889$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.031,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under20c2,528$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.173941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under21c2,380$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.21,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under21c2,380$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.21,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under21c2,380$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.22,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under21c2,251$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.1131039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under59c1,681$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.265457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under20c1,663$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.0812755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Under56c1,382$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over57c1,058$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over49c1,018$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.821822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under69c1,000$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7510364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over39c883.79$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.055939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c815.04$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c701.56$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over19c696.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.652,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over39c690.62$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1248547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over36c658.45$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over27c636.18$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5744843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under20c625$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50030754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6da…5ccfbacked Over42c620.62$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over28c515.18$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over39c466$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over35c428.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9911039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed Over47c408.56$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over15c401.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.221844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under22c399.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9820846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under72c374.41$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8821752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under65c370.78$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under22c358.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.412,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under71c352.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.32055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over45c346.27$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5520665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over14c330.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under61c329.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7612545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Over42c317.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under53c309.59$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under60c250$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over43c233.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.965464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over43c229.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.968554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over35c228.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over44c210.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7814335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over36c191.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under68c190.76$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.048247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.644742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under56c187.18$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.364153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under21c140$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.278756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over45c135.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under21c128$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over79c122.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.882356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over80c112.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.962646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over54c112.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over45c109.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.485046%23 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over49c106.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.781,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662650%13 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Over73c98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.074751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over63c95.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c95.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.541,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under56c86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.847100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under43c84.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2940451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Under68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under63c72.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over42c66.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Over54c65.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over31c62.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.511,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c1…ee06backed Under65c58.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over26c57.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9416845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over78c57.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfaf6…8b41backed Under61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Under61c49.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under46c44.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under63c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.181369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08d…1e00backed Over45c43.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1812755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under70c32.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.595957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…3658backed Under56c29.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…4c57backed Under66c29.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.956100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7552…3d52backed Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick77cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…cdb2backed Under60c25.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under59c24.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.026168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c24.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.341,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.