South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF América (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce05f8244a5929df5817a51d5743387685c40a1343a855627423bd2efba3d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Querétaro FCof CF América, Querétaro FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF América | 22c | 54,062$11,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,759.53 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Querétaro FC | 77c | 14,922$11,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.78 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Querétaro FC | 76c | 9,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Querétaro FC | 77c | 8,144$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.9 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Querétaro FC | 79c | 2,018$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.13 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CF América | 23c | 1,986$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.43 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Querétaro FC | 74c | 1,483$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.64 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 1,444$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.64 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Querétaro FC | 76c | 1,301$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.13 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 1,197$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked CF América | 24c | 764.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed CF América | 25c | 679.44$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 666$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Querétaro FC | 76c | 512$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CF América | 24c | 487.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CF América | 26c | 400.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CF América | 26c | 378.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed CF América | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked CF América | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 245$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 205.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Querétaro FC | 75c | 192$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Querétaro FC | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CF América | 21c | 167.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Querétaro FC | 80c | 154$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 142.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Querétaro FC | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Querétaro FC | 72c | 100.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 84.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Querétaro FC | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed CF América | 24c | 46.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Querétaro FC | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Querétaro FC | 77c | 32.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Querétaro FC | 77c | 26.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Querétaro FC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Querétaro FC | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Querétaro FC | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Querétaro FC | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Querétaro FC | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Querétaro FC | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)this page
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 0.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 5.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. CF América: Querétaro FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-2.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.