MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b6c19844fd51edb7fe3814db80f8782362f207f1815a0ed45cb005330f9fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 5,002$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.05 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 897$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.36 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 510.55$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 432.13$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 38c | 180.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 9c | 147.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 17c | 147.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 21c | 127.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…a328backed Under | 76c | 125.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 64c | 119.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 59c | 116.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 53c | 113.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 113.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 76c | 105$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 35c | 85.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 66c | 79.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 53c | 75.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 39c | 58.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Over | 36c | 57.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 65c | 45.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 52c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Under | 54c | 38.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 38.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 64c | 36.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 53c | 33.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 38c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Under | 57c | 31.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 52c | 23.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 58c | 20.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.