MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bce9148adbe7cbf33b3b55423ee2259fc26ede32ef721569ebecf25800c05f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 15,475$7,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.39 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 9,074$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.07 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 8,439$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.37 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 6,154$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 5,133$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.07 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 4,332$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,567$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 2,542$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 2,101$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 1,706$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 1,688$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.81 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,260$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 1,025$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.49 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 884.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 446.41$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 445.75$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.96 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 368$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 311$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 309$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 287.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 282$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 272.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 234.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 163.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 153.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 153.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…826fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 139.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 138$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 132.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 85.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 83.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 82.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 75.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 72.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…e99cbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 67.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 60.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 48.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 47.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 40.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c5b9backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 38.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.