MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3655e3ebc2b806c09a8340a08621a3c389b852591b8eca8108d32884b8d7e9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 2,936$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.93 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 1,712$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.59 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 67c | 1,591$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.89 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,463$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.75 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 48c | 1,331$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.96 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 1,141$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 45c | 436.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 64c | 239.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 37c | 100.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 95.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 37c | 61.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…a328backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 49c | 45.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Under | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 48c | 35.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 57c | 29.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 56c | 27.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 52c | 26.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 56c | 20.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.