South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd98af200275ddbc777ce19835c1b2ececea6b4c7d9a284baafa12be9b806a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 29,818$16,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,390.04 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 26,828$8,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,568.54 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 9,356$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.4 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 16c | 7,749$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.91 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 18c | 3,510$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 3,409$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.16 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 54c | 2,058$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.64 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 29c | 1,843$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.87 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 16c | 1,609$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.61 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 24c | 1,206$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.11 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 697.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 31c | 581.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 47c | 545.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 18c | 432.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 52c | 375$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 28c | 374.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 57c | 303.95$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 291$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 11c | 284.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 29c | 257.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 80c | 230$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 51c | 224.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…ca02backed Under | 50c | 195.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 183.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 166.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 150.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…f237backed Over | 51c | 120.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 15c | 113.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 24c | 95.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 92.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 63.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…631dbacked Over | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 44.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 36c | 42.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 37.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 37.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 69c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 51c | 31.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Over | 39c | 31.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Over | 52c | 30.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 55c | 29.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Over | 41c | 27.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Under | 54c | 25.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 68c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 63c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.